{"id":4451,"date":"2023-05-30T19:52:48","date_gmt":"2023-05-30T19:52:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/csiag.eu\/?p=4451"},"modified":"2023-05-30T19:56:38","modified_gmt":"2023-05-30T19:56:38","slug":"halandosag-2020-2022","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/csiag.eu\/hu\/blog\/2023\/05\/30\/uebersterblichkeit-2020-2022\/","title":{"rendered":"T\u00falhal\u00e1loz\u00e1s 2020 - 2022"},"content":{"rendered":"<span class=\"span-reading-time rt-reading-time\" style=\"display: block;\"><span class=\"rt-label rt-prefix\">Olvas\u00e1si id\u0151<\/span> <span class=\"rt-time\"> 2<\/span> <span class=\"rt-label rt-postfix\">percek<\/span><\/span>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A t\u00f6bblethaland\u00f3s\u00e1g t\u00e9m\u00e1ja \u00e1lland\u00f3 vit\u00e1k forr\u00e1sa. Most a Christof Kuhbandner \u00e9s Matthias Reitzner \u00e1ltal \u00edrt \u00e9s 2023. m\u00e1jus 23-\u00e1n megjelent tanulm\u00e1ny \"<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cureus.com\/articles\/149410-estimation-of-excess-mortality-in-germany-during-2020-2022#!\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">A t\u00f6bblethaland\u00f3s\u00e1g becsl\u00e9se N\u00e9metorsz\u00e1gban a 2020-2022-es id\u0151szakban<\/a>\" (angol nyelven) h\u00e9t szak\u00e9rt\u0151 vizsg\u00e1lta fel\u00fcl az \u00e1prilis 19. \u00e9s 2023. m\u00e1jus 22. k\u00f6z\u00f6tti id\u0151szakban.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A tartalom n\u00e9met nyelv\u0171 \u00f6sszefoglal\u00f3ja ezen a linken \u00e9rhet\u0151 el. <a href=\"https:\/\/kinderrechtejetzt.de\/uebersterblichkeitsartikel-peer-reviewed\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Honlap<\/a> rendelkez\u00e9sre \u00e1ll.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201e<em>Az eredm\u00e9nyek azt mutatj\u00e1k, hogy a 2020-ban megfigyelt hal\u00e1loz\u00e1sok sz\u00e1ma az empirikus sz\u00f3r\u00e1shoz viszony\u00edtva k\u00f6zel \u00e1llt a v\u00e1rt sz\u00e1mhoz. K\u00f6r\u00fclbel\u00fcl 4000 t\u00f6bblethal\u00e1loz\u00e1s t\u00f6rt\u00e9nt. Ezzel szemben 2021-ben a hal\u00e1loz\u00e1sok megfigyelt sz\u00e1ma k\u00e9t empirikus sz\u00f3r\u00e1ssal meghaladta a v\u00e1rt sz\u00e1mot, 2022-ben pedig az empirikus sz\u00f3r\u00e1s t\u00f6bb mint n\u00e9gyszerese is volt. \u00d6sszess\u00e9g\u00e9ben a t\u00f6bblethal\u00e1loz\u00e1sok sz\u00e1ma 2021-ben k\u00f6r\u00fclbel\u00fcl 34 000, 2022-ben pedig k\u00f6r\u00fclbel\u00fcl 66 000 hal\u00e1loz\u00e1s, ami kumul\u00e1ltan 100 000 t\u00f6bblethal\u00e1loz\u00e1st eredm\u00e9nyez mindk\u00e9t \u00e9vben. A 2021-es \u00e9s 2022-es magas t\u00f6bblethal\u00e1loz\u00e1s els\u0151sorban a 15 \u00e9s 79 \u00e9v k\u00f6z\u00f6tti korcsoportokban bek\u00f6vetkezett hal\u00e1loz\u00e1sok n\u00f6veked\u00e9s\u00e9nek k\u00f6sz\u00f6nhet\u0151, \u00e9s csak 2021 \u00e1prilis\u00e1t\u00f3l halmoz\u00f3dott fel. Hasonl\u00f3 hal\u00e1loz\u00e1si mint\u00e1zat volt megfigyelhet\u0151 a halvasz\u00fclet\u00e9sek eset\u00e9ben is: 2021 m\u00e1sodik negyed\u00e9v\u00e9ben mintegy 9,4%, 2021 negyedik negyed\u00e9v\u00e9ben pedig 19,4% volt a n\u00f6veked\u00e9s az el\u0151z\u0151 \u00e9vekhez k\u00e9pest.<\/em>\u201c ...<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\"K\u00f6vetkeztet\u00e9sek: Ebben a tanulm\u00e1nyban a biztos\u00edt\u00e1smatematikai tudom\u00e1ny legkorszer\u0171bb m\u00f3dszer\u00e9t alkalmaztuk az \u00f6sszes okb\u00f3l bek\u00f6vetkez\u0151 hal\u00e1lesetek v\u00e1rhat\u00f3 sz\u00e1m\u00e1nak \u00e9s az \u00f6sszes okb\u00f3l bek\u00f6vetkez\u0151 hal\u00e1loz\u00e1s n\u00f6veked\u00e9s\u00e9nek becsl\u00e9s\u00e9re a 2020-2022-es pand\u00e9mi\u00e1s \u00e9vekben N\u00e9metorsz\u00e1gban. 2020-ban a megfigyelt hal\u00e1loz\u00e1sok sz\u00e1ma rendk\u00edv\u00fcl k\u00f6zel volt a v\u00e1rt sz\u00e1mhoz, de 2021-ben a megfigyelt hal\u00e1loz\u00e1sok sz\u00e1ma j\u00f3val a v\u00e1rt sz\u00e1m felett volt, az empirikus sz\u00f3r\u00e1s k\u00e9tszeres\u00e9nek nagys\u00e1grendj\u00e9vel, 2022-ben pedig a v\u00e1rt sz\u00e1m felett, az empirikus sz\u00f3r\u00e1s t\u00f6bb mint n\u00e9gyszeres\u00e9vel is. Az \u00e9letkort\u00f3l f\u00fcgg\u0151 havi t\u00f6bblethal\u00e1loz\u00e1s elemz\u00e9se azt mutatta, hogy a 2021. \u00e9s 2022. \u00e9vi t\u00f6bblethal\u00e1loz\u00e1s\u00e9rt a 2021 tavasz\u00e1t\u00f3l kezd\u0151d\u0151 magas t\u00f6bblethal\u00e1loz\u00e1s a felel\u0151s. A halvasz\u00fclet\u00e9sek sz\u00e1m\u00e1nak elemz\u00e9se hasonl\u00f3 hal\u00e1loz\u00e1si mint\u00e1zatot mutatott, mint a 15 \u00e9s 80 \u00e9v k\u00f6z\u00f6tti korcsoport eset\u00e9ben.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A hal\u00e1loz\u00e1si mint\u00e1zatot magyar\u00e1z\u00f3 tov\u00e1bbi vizsg\u00e1latok kiindul\u00f3pontjak\u00e9nt \u00f6sszehasonl\u00edtottuk a t\u00f6bblethal\u00e1loz\u00e1st a bejelentett COVID-19 hal\u00e1lesetek sz\u00e1m\u00e1val \u00e9s a COVID-19 olt\u00e1sok sz\u00e1m\u00e1val. Ez sz\u00e1mos nyitott k\u00e9rd\u00e9st vet fel, amelyek k\u00f6z\u00fcl a legfontosabb a t\u00f6bblethaland\u00f3s\u00e1g, a COVID-19 hal\u00e1lesetek sz\u00e1ma \u00e9s a COVID-19 olt\u00e1sok k\u00f6z\u00f6tti kovari\u00e1ci\u00f3.\"<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p><span class=\"span-reading-time rt-reading-time\" style=\"display: block;\"><span class=\"rt-label rt-prefix\">Olvas\u00e1si id\u0151<\/span> <span class=\"rt-time\"> 2<\/span> <span class=\"rt-label rt-postfix\">percek<\/span><\/span>A t\u00f6bblethaland\u00f3s\u00e1g t\u00e9m\u00e1ja \u00e1lland\u00f3 vit\u00e1k forr\u00e1sa. Most a Christof Kuhbandner \u00e9s Matthias Reitzner \u00e1ltal \u00edrt \u00e9s 2023. m\u00e1jus 23-\u00e1n k\u00f6zz\u00e9tett \"A t\u00f6bblethaland\u00f3s\u00e1g becsl\u00e9se N\u00e9metorsz\u00e1gban a 2020-2022-es id\u0151szakban\" c\u00edm\u0171 tanulm\u00e1nyt (angol nyelven) h\u00e9t szak\u00e9rt\u0151 vizsg\u00e1lta fel\u00fcl az \u00e1prilis 19. \u00e9s 2023. m\u00e1jus 22. k\u00f6z\u00f6tti id\u0151szakban. A tartalom n\u00e9met nyelv\u0171 \u00f6sszefoglal\u00f3ja ezen a weboldalon \u00e9rhet\u0151 el...&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/csiag.eu\/hu\/blog\/2023\/05\/30\/uebersterblichkeit-2020-2022\/\" rel=\"bookmark\">Olvass tov\u00e1bb \"<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">T\u00falhal\u00e1loz\u00e1s 2020 - 2022<\/span><\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","neve_meta_sidebar":"","neve_meta_container":"","neve_meta_enable_content_width":"","neve_meta_content_width":0,"neve_meta_title_alignment":"","neve_meta_author_avatar":"","neve_post_elements_order":"","neve_meta_disable_header":"","neve_meta_disable_footer":"","neve_meta_disable_title":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[628],"tags":[1620,1621,1618,1619,1622,7,9],"class_list":["post-4451","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-corona","tag-covid19","tag-impfungen","tag-kuhbandner","tag-reitzner","tag-sterblichkeit","tag-todesfaelle","tag-uebersterblichkeit"],"modified_by":"Achim Goerner","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/csiag.eu\/hu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4451","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/csiag.eu\/hu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/csiag.eu\/hu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/csiag.eu\/hu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/csiag.eu\/hu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4451"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/csiag.eu\/hu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4451\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/csiag.eu\/hu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4451"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/csiag.eu\/hu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4451"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/csiag.eu\/hu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4451"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}